Bitcoin (BTC) could be set for a prolonged uptrend, with a pending bullish signal from a key valuation metric suggesting BTC prices could rise “much higher,” according to crypto analysts.
Key takeaways:
- Bitcoin’s MVRV golden cross indicates a shift toward optimism, historically preceding prolonged price increases.
- Bitcoin traders argue that $60,000 was the bottom of the bear market; Next, see the “huge” BTC price breakout.
Bitcoin MVRV Momentum Sends ‘Trend Reversal Signal’
Bitcoin’s market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio, an indicator that measures whether the asset is overvalued, is about to print a “golden cross,” a fact that has previously preceded massive price increases, according to CryptoQuant analyst CW8900.
Related: Saylor Signals Another Bitcoin Buy After Hinting at a Sell on Q1 Earnings Call
“A golden crossover between the $BTC MVRV index and the 200D EMA line is imminent,” the analyst saying in an X post on Sunday, adding:
“This signal is a representative trend change signal and is a bullish indicator.”
Bitcoin MVRV Momentum Indicator. Source: CryptoQuant
The last time the indicator produced this bullish crossover was just after the bottom of the 2022 cycle, before a 90% rally in the price of BTC to $31,000 from $16,300 in the first quarter of 2023. Another crossover in September 2023 was followed by a 400% bull run to the current all-time high of $126,000 reached in October 2025.
In a previous analysis, CW8900 highlighted a golden cross when the 30-day simple moving average (SMA) of the Bitcoin MVRV index crossed above its 90-day SMA in late April, saying:
“$BTC has completely turned into an uptrend.”
Source: CW8900
Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s recent rally to $83,000 boosted the base level of costs for short-term holders (STH) as new buyers became profitable again.
The STH cost basis refers to the average purchase price of investors who have held Bitcoin for less than 155 days.
The chart below shows that the price could rise further to touch the “heated” band of this metric, currently at $92,000.
Although taking profits at current pricesThe STH risk zone suggests BTC may rise further in the near term with the “heated” band at $92,000 and the overheated band at $104,000.
Bitcoin’s basic short-term cost bands. Source: Glassnode
Bitcoin Analysts Say BTC ‘Big Breakout’ Is Coming
Like Cointelegraph reportedAnalysts say Bitcoin is at a turning point as it retests the 200-day moving average at $82,500.
A break above this level could end the multi-month downtrend, while a rejection could lead to a fresh sell-off towards $50,000.
Analyst Shib Spain noted that BTC’s breakout above a multi-month downtrend line on the weekly chart marked a structural shift from the bearish dominance, reinforced by a bullish crossover of the MACD indicator.
“Bitcoin’s big breakout is coming. A MACD bullish reversal is forming,” analyst saying in a recent post on X, adding:
“The bull run is just beginning.”
BTC/USD weekly daily chart. Source: Shib Spain
Fellow analyst Mustache highlights BTC’s market cap and its RSI bouncing off multi-year support lines on the monthly time frame, as shown in the chart below.
“Just like 2022, I have bottomed again for $BTC this cycle,” the analyst said. saying in an X post on Monday, adding:
“Prices will go up much, much higher. We have something big to look forward to.”
Bitcoin market capitalization, USD. Source: X/Mustache
Like Cointelegraph reportedSeveral analysts predict a “supercycle” rebound towards $180,000-250,000 as early as this year, supported by institutional accumulation and a strengthening of the technical setup.
