Perhaps it is the reason why the most urgent Democrats lost in November: the party has solidly lost the support of the voters of the working class throughout the country and does not have a solid sense of how to recover them.
Now, a group of researchers, strategists and democratic agents are launching a renewed effort to resolve, and to communicate with the rest of their party, what the thesis voters want, where they think that the party went wrong and how to be their concern.
Directed by Mitch Landrieu, former deputy governor of Louisiana and former mayor of New Orleans, The working class project Plans to sacrifice orientation in the coming months on how to build “a more sustainable majority” in future elections.
His challenge is discouraging. In November 2024, Trump not only gathered the white base of the worker class of voters who first chosen it in 2016. Also he too cut In The support of the working class of the Democrats between voters either color: Almost half or Latin voters and a historical part of black voters backed Trump (anywhere from a dozen to almost one in five). November departure surveys too show That Trump won on the new support of low and medium income voters, those who earn less than $ 100,000 per year, and particularly those who earn less than $ 50,000 per year. Last year he marked the first time in almost 60 years that the lowest Americans voted for the republican presidential candidate about the democratic.
Some of this can be explained by pointing out the confluence of the factors that made last year’s election unique: the historical age and unpopularity of the starting president, the candidate switch at the end of the game and the discomfort of tubes. But Landrieu and the working class project because the Democrats resist these apologies, and accept that their decline With these voters Prior to Trump.
“Since President Obama was first chosen in 2008, Democrats have seen about 25 percent in the net loss of support among the voters of the working class,” says Landrieu in the project launch announcement. “In other words, for two decades, the Democrats have one leg in a descending slide among the same voters whose interests we defend and that benefit from our policies.”
How this effort looks
Located at the Research Firm of the Liberal Opposition and the Super Pac American Bridge 21st century Bridge, the working class project focuses mainly on research, surveys and work groups. They are focused on arriving and listening to the voters in 21 states: the seven traditional states of Battle-Slowund, seven safe democratic states with great actions of white and non-white working class voters (which resulted in the states last year), and seven seven seven and seven and seven seven seven.
Some of these focal groups have already been made: the group This work began in February After the inauguration of Trump, and plan to interview work leaders, faith and premises as well. The group is also planning a longer -term study with a deep approach in a handful of exclusive dynamics of the 2024 elections in which most of the party still seems to drift. That includes continuing and discovering the motivations of young, black, Latin and Aapi men of which Trump won, and how are his media consumption habits. They also say that they will conduct longitudinal research on working class people in these states to track their behavior over the course of Trump’s second mandate to track their reactions to things such as rates, taxes and immigration.
“With this deep listening of voters from the working class in 21 states, we will identify messages, messengers and new means to rebuild the democratic brand and write a plan for the victory that we will implement using each tool”, the tool. “
His effort, of course, is not the only one on the left trying to discern and solve the problems of the brand, messages and policies of the party. But his frame is a bit different.
Democrats face a number of numbers in 2028 and beyond
The group’s memorandum says that they chose those 21 states because they are the fastest growing and can obtain the greatest amount of the reapzration of Congress in 2030. They include seven “growth” states where the Democrats are no longer competitive at the state level: Florida, Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, Ohio, South Carolina and Texas. And they are those states where the Democrats must compete seriously if they expect to win the presidency or maintain the Senate after 2030.
It is also found in those states where Trump’s 2024 profits, if they argued that it would be impossible for Democrats to be competitive without recovering more working class voters. Without a doubt, Trump himself is already doing some of this work for his opposition. His approval ratings have been abruptly moved away from him in at least nine of those 21 states, according to the estimates of surveys conducted by data journalists in the economist. And its chaotic management of tariffs, inflation and economy in general probably Contributing to this discontent between Its 2024 coalition.
But Democrats will have to do more to take advantage of this skepticism with Trump. The Brennan Center for Justice Region productions By 2030, he suggests that with population losses in solidly democratic states and Swing, a future Democratic presidential candidate will face difficult probabilities for a victory at the electoral university after those votes are made to match census estimates. After 2030, the center estimates: “Even if a Democrat in 2032 was going to carry the states of the blue wall and both Arizona and Nevada, the result would be just a close victory of 276–262” who achieve Democratic profits with men, worker class voters and voters.
